by Stephen Reed | Accounting News, News, Newsletter
After two years of rapid interest rate hikes, which sent mortgage and credit card rates soaring, investors and consumers are wondering when the Federal Reserve is planning to lower interest rates. In short, the Fed is looking for more positive signs from the economy, but rate cuts will likely happen in 2024. Read on to learn how soon this might happen.
Inflation and the Fed
In March 2022, the Federal Reserve initiated a series of rate hikes as a strategic measure to combat soaring inflation rates, a traditionally effective method used to curb consumer spending and mitigate price surges. Since then, the central bank has executed 11 rate hikes, which have significantly reduced the annual inflation rate to 3.1% in January, down from its peak of 9.1% in June 2022. However, January’s figure was higher than economists’ projections – and persists above the Fed’s target of lowering inflation to 2%. Given January’s hot inflation data, deep rate cuts aren’t likely to happen soon.
When to Expect the First Cut
Because January’s number was higher than previously forecasted, economists are now projecting the Fed’s first cut will happen farther along in 2024 than they had earlier estimated. This means the Fed’s next meeting in March is unlikely to result in cuts, and some are saying the May meeting may even be too soon. Instead, most economists aren’t expecting the first rate cut until the Fed’s June 12 meeting.
What Does This Mean for Americans?
Borrowers likely won’t see changes to loan terms anytime soon. Credit card rates, auto loans, and other credit products that are based on the Fed’s benchmark rate will likely stay steady at or near their current levels until the first rate cut.
Mortgages are slightly different. When inflation growth is worse than expected, mortgage rates tend to increase. Therefore, we might see a rise in mortgage rates in the upcoming weeks, but ultimately stabilizing around 6% by year’s end.
What to Do with Your Money in the Meantime
Here are some steps you can take with your money while you wait for rates to drop.
Open a Certificate of Deposit
When the Federal Reserve reduces rates, annual percentage yields (APY) on savings accounts also decrease. However, interest rates on certificates of deposit (CDs) remain unchanged once the account is opened, ensuring a fixed rate regardless of any fluctuations in APYs.
Strengthen Your Credit Score
If you’ve been holding out for lower rates before applying for a mortgage or personal loan, it’s time to prepare. Lenders heavily weigh your credit score in the approval process to determine the interest rate you’ll receive. While a credit score of 620 is the starting point for a conventional mortgage, aiming for a score of at least 750 can help you qualify for the most favorable rates.
To be sure your credit score is primed for the best rates, make on-time payments of credit cards and loans in full; request higher credit limits in order to lower your credit utilization ratio; and hold off on applying for new lines of credit as the application could require a hard inquiry that hits your credit.
by Daniel Kittell | Accounting News, News, Newsletter, Small Business
The impact of inflation on small businesses is typically significant, often squeezing profit margins and jeopardizing long-term sustainability. Amid this challenge, small businesses are finding innovative ways to navigate these turbulent economic waters. In this article we explore four strategies that are proving instrumental in helping small businesses stay afloat.
Tap into Savings Reserves
One of the primary strategies small businesses are using to endure inflation is tapping into their savings reserves. By building a financial safety net during calmer economic periods, businesses create a cushion that allows them to maintain operational stability, cover increased costs, and avoid making knee-jerk decisions that could have long-term consequences.
However, this move isn’t one to make lightly. Business owners should first assess the severity and duration of inflationary trends before dipping into cash reserves. It’s a delicate balance between preserving the business’s financial health and addressing immediate challenges. Additionally, businesses need to come up with a strong plan for replenishing these reserves once economic conditions balance out.
Raise Prices
According to a recent poll released by the accounts payable software Melio, half of the businesses polled increased their prices to offset the rising costs of labor or supplies. Many of these businesses reported a price increase of 7% in the last six months. To implement a price increase strategy effectively, businesses should conduct thorough market research and competitor analysis. Understanding how similar products or services are priced in the market can provide insights into the best pricing strategy.
Reduce Production of Goods or Services
Inflation often leads to increased costs of raw materials, labor, and other operational expenses. Because of this, small businesses may choose to reduce the production of goods or services in an effort to maintain profitability. It might seem counterintuitive, but it can be a strategic move to uphold quality and protect the business’s reputation.
Cutting back on production allows businesses to focus on delivering a limited but high-quality offering. This can be particularly effective for businesses with a niche market or those that underscore craftsmanship and exclusivity. By maintaining a respected and high-quality reputation, businesses can weather the storm of inflation without compromising the long-term sustainability of their operations.
Increase Online Presence
A strong online presence will help small businesses mitigate the impact of inflation by opening new avenues for sales, reducing dependence on local economic conditions, and providing opportunities for reaching an international customer base. An effective online strategy – through e-commerce platforms, digital marketing, and social media engagement – allows businesses to connect with a broader audience and provides valuable insights for adapting to changing market conditions.
The four strategies discussed above are all essential components of a comprehensive approach to navigating economic uncertainty. By carefully implementing these strategies, business owners can position their businesses not only to survive but to thrive in the face of inflationary pressures.
by Daniel Kittell | Accounting News, IRS, News, Newsletter, Tax, Tax Planning, Tax Planning - Individual, Tax Preparation - Individual
In response to soaring inflation, the IRS has released higher tax brackets and standard deductions for tax year 2023 and subsequent returns filed in 2024. This means that more taxpayers’ earnings will remain in lower tax brackets, which should reduce their income taxes.
Higher Tax Brackets for 2023
Tax brackets are the income ranges used to determine how much American’s owe in federal income tax. The IRS adjusts these brackets to reflect the impact of inflation on workers’ earnings with the aim of preventing inflation from pushing individuals into a higher tax bracket and potentially subjecting them to higher tax rates. The IRS is essentially trying to alleviate some of the financial strain caused by inflation.
Here Are the Newly Released Tax Brackets for Year 2023
The change in tax brackets means more taxpayers’ earnings will stay in lower tax brackets next year, which should reduce their income taxes.
Married filing jointly:
10% – $0 to $22,000
12% – $22,001 to $89,450
22% – $89,451 to $190,750
24% – $190,751 to $364,200
32% – $364,201 to $462,500
35% – $462,501 to $693,750
37% – Over $693,750
Single filers:
10% – $0 to $11,000
12% – $11,001 to $44,725
22% – $44,726 to $95,375
24% – $95,376 to $182,100
32% – $182,101 to $231,250
35% – $231,251 to 578,125
37% – Over $578,125
Standard Deductions
In an effort to acknowledge the recent rise of living costs and provide taxpayers with a bit of financial relief, the IRS has also increased the standard deductions for 2023. The standard deduction is a fixed amount that taxpayers can subtract from their taxable income tax.
The standard deduction is increasing for tax year 2023 to $27,700 for married couples filing jointly (up from $25,900 in 2022). Single filers can claim $13,850 (up from $12,950 in 2022).
Additional Deductions
Among the other deductions that will increase in 2024 are the foreign earned income exclusion, which rises from $120,000 to $126,500. This is a tax benefit that allows eligible U.S. citizens working abroad to exclude a certain amount of their foreign earned income from their U.S. federal income tax in order to prevent double taxation. Additionally, the annual exclusion for gifts will increase from $17,000 to $18,000.
Benefits to Taxpayers
These adjustments help to ensure that workers’ wages, which may have risen to keep up with inflation, are not eroded by higher tax rates. This means that individuals will not be penalized for earning more money to combat rising living costs. In fact, the changes can help stimulate the economy by putting more money in the hands of consumers.
Furthermore, the increased standard deductions provide financial relief by lowering the overall tax burden on taxpayers. This extra money can be used to offset the rising costs of everyday expenses, such as housing, transportation, and groceries.
by Daniel Kittell | Accounting News, News, Retirement, Retirement Savings
Every October, retirees and individuals planning for their retirement expect the Social Security Administration to announce the cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) for the following year. The COLA aims to counteract the eroding effects of inflation on retirees’ purchasing power. In this article, we go over how the anticipated COLA for 2024 could affect American retirees.
Understanding the COLA
The COLA for Social Security benefits is determined each year by using a specific formula that takes into account changes in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). The CPI-W is a measure of inflation that reflects the average change in prices paid by urban consumers for a predetermined “market basket” of goods and services. The goal of COLA is to ensure that Social Security benefits keep up with the rising cost of living, so that the purchasing power of beneficiaries is maintained over time.
Anticipated COLA for 2024
The exact COLA for 2024 will not be officially announced until October, but early predictions suggest a raise of 3% for 2024. That would boost the average Social Security retirement benefit by about $55 a month in 2024.
COLA Fluctuation
A 3% raise would be a significant shift from the previous two years, which saw COLA adjustments at 5.9% and 8.7%. These adjustments raised the average retirement benefit by $92 in 2022 and $146 this year. Compared to these percentages, some might consider a 3% raise a disappointment, but it’s important to remember that annual COLA calculations are meant to offset the price increases consumers have faced since the previous year’s COLA was determined. Therefore, a 3% raise would be a sign that inflation is cooling.
It’s also important to point out that a 3% raise is still above average. Looking at the last two decades, the average inflation adjustment for Social Security benefits was 2.6%, and three of those years – 2010, 2011, and 2016 – saw no adjustment at all. Even so, when comparing this year’s 8.7% hike to the projected 3% for next year, retirees on a tight budget will feel the difference.
How Social Security Beneficiaries Can Still Benefit
Retirees may be temporarily profiting from the COLA raises in these latter years, and those who are able to increase savings for the remainder of 2023 are in a position to benefit. With 15-year highs in interest rates on certificates of deposit and money market savings accounts, retirees may want to think about transferring available assets to these safe saving vehicles as they offer a better rate of return than traditional savings accounts.
by Stephen Reed | Accounting News, News
Last year the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates at a pace not seen since inflation soared this high 40 years ago. By raising interest rates, borrowing becomes more expensive for individuals and businesses, which can lead to reduced spending and investment. This, in turn, can help slow down inflationary pressures. The Fed recently approved its 10th interest rate increase in the effort to curb inflation, but are these hikes working? We discuss below.
A Subtle Hint
Will this be the Fed’s last rate hike for a while, or will the central bankers raise rates yet again at their June meeting? The Fed issued a recent statement in which they dropped a line that was previously used about the likely need for additional rate increases, which has caused some to speculate that the Fed may be pausing rate hikes. Given signs of a softening job market and slower economic growth, as well as brewing turmoil in the banking sector, an assessment to pause rate increases isn’t far-fetched.
Have the Rate Increases Been Successful?
The Fed raised rates at ten consecutive meetings, pushing its benchmark rate to between 5 and 5.25%, and the increases have shown some markers of success. Inflation showed signs of easing at the end of 2022 and the beginning of 2023. And after a strong January, consumer spending slowed sharply in February and March. However, it’s still more than twice as high as the central bank’s target of 2%. After the May 2023 meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell told reporters, “We remain strongly committed to bringing inflation back down to our 2% goal.” He added that this will take time, and the Fed is prepared for the possibility of additional rate hikes if such a move is warranted. However, some experts warn that attempting to hammer away at inflation by further increasing rates could put more jobs in jeopardy, without necessarily having a great impact on inflation.
